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Crypto Political Betting Takes Center Stage As the 2024 Election Draws Near

ByDave Stopher

Nov 18, 2024

Explore trends that are driving the crypto political betting among US voters ahead of the US Presidential elections results. 

The US Presidential elections were held on the 5th of November. The election will determine who will hold the presidency, either Republican Donald Trump or the Democratic Kamala Harris. Numerous developments are happening in the US are intensifying the intrigue surrounding elections. This has sparked a huge interest in political betting as the results are near, people are actively placing their stakes in an odd that they believe is most likely to happen.

Cryptocurrency is becoming a highly preferred medium due to its accessibility and the added value to the political market. That said, many more people could simply adopt cryptocurrency to participate in election betting.

Latest US Election Trends: Driving the Crypto Betting Surge

Fundamentally, it revolves around the fluctuating gap between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. As per the latest Polymarket and Kalshi odds, Trump is likely to win and surpass his opponent conveniently. Democrats fielded Kamala Harris to cover up and secure female votes as male voters began to embrace Trump. Harris is one of many high-profile candidates who took the field for her members. 

Public interest in swing states is the key to winning the election—three states that stand out are Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. David Schultz, a professor at Hamline University, said that only states like these will decide the outcome of the election, adding that one can ignore national polls. Some of the crypto political betting sites are backing this statement via odds on their respective platforms.

After successfully narrowing down Trump and Harris, crypto bets are gaining momentum. It is safe to conclude that crypto political bets are taking a new shape as the results are near, attracting more people.

Impact of Recent US Political Events on Crypto Market

Some of the recent US political events that are affecting the crypto market are campaigns, election controversies, and policy proposals.

For starters, Trump’s campaign is largely in support of boosting the adoption of cryptocurrency. Therefore, the price of cryptocurrencies reflects a surge in the odds of his win. That is a demonstration of rising interest and confidence among investors. Kamala Harris’ support for the crypto segment is being coined as a newfound interest in political gains. Nevertheless, the market reacts positively when she puts out a favorable word for digital tokens.

Election controversies largely pertain to three assassination attempts on Trump to this point. The crypto market has interpreted these attempts as a strategy to dissuade the Republican candidate, thereby enabling the Democrats to gain greater strength. Trump remains unfazed, holding his fist high in the air, while Harris continues to make mistakes during interviews.

The political debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden was a clear victory for the former President. This gave Trump’s supporters a significant boost in visibility. The same scenario prompted Biden to consider stepping down due to health reasons. Harris took over and appeared in a debate, and Donald later concluded that it was rigged—something that many of his followers seem to agree with. 

A victory for Trump is famously associated with good news for the crypto market. As the price of Bitcoin continues to surge due to the favorable winning odds of Trump as per the latest exit polls and prediction market. Kamala occupying the Chair is, thereby, being looked at as negative news for the crypto sphere.

Conclusion

As the U.S. presidential election result approaches, the interplay between politics and cryptocurrency is increasingly captivating. Donald Trump is aiming to regain his position as the US President. Kamala Harris is aiming to secure her promotion from VP to Chair. Multiple factors like policies, high-profile appearances, and election controversies are driving the progress of crypto political betting. Ultimately, the election results will not only shape the political scenario but also significantly impact the future of cryptocurrency in the U.S. and around the world.